Mall giant Simon snapping up bankrupt retailers to outdo its rivals

The company’s foray from landlord to owner shows just how deeply the coronavirus crisis is reshaping the retail industry. Like many of its peers, Simon temporarily shut all 175 of its U.S. malls and outlets in March, and was reported to have furloughed about 30 percent of its workforce. It delayed more than $1 billion in redevelopments. Major tenants like the Gap stopped paying rent, while others began pulling out of leases. Apparel chain Abercrombie & Fitch, meanwhile, is suing Simon, alleging that it “wrongfully extracted rent payments” during the pandemic. In all, Simon collected about 51 percent of retailers’ rent payments in April and May, and about 70 percent in June and July, executives said on an earnings call this month.

Now the company is investing millions to prop up some failing retailers, in hopes of keeping occupancy rates up and rent payments coming in.

“They’ve got to keep mall occupancies at the right level, so they’re looking at these deals as a bet on the future,” said Bob Phibbs, chief executive of the Retail Doctor, a New York-based consultancy. “They’re paying pennies on the dollar for legacy brands, but it’s still a crap shoot. You look at Brooks Brothers for example, and it’s a head-scratcher — a storied, older, patriarchal brand is what’s supposed to drive people to the mall?”

Last week, Simon — in partnership with licensing firm Authentic Brands Group — paid $325 million for Brooks Brothers, and $140 million for Lucky Brand. They also are teaming up with Brookfield Properties to pursue J.C. Penney. The trio acquired apparel chain Forever 21 earlier this year, and Aeropostale in 2016.

Ali Slocum, a spokeswoman for Simon, declined to comment for this report. Simon’s properties include some of the nation’s premier shopping malls, including King of Prussia near Philadelphia and the Houston Galleria. In the D.C. area, its portfolio includes Fashion Centre at Pentagon City, Leesburg Premium Outlets, Potomac Mills, Arundel Mills and St. Charles Towne Center.

“Without question, the pandemic has obviously had a dramatic impact,” chief executive David Simon said in an August earnings call. “The Great Recession frankly pales in comparison to what we’re dealing with. Obviously, the amount of bankruptcies in our sector is tremendous.”

Several mall staples have filed for Chapter 11 protection during the pandemic, including J. Crew, Neiman Marcus and J.C. Penney, rocking an already struggling sector. Many U.S. shopping malls, particularly lower and mid-tier ones, have struggled for years to combat falling occupancy rates and foot traffic. But in the current climate, mall operators face even more uncertainty as retailers close stores and pull out of leases.

Many mall leases come with “co-tenancy” clauses that allow retailers to pay lower rates or pull out completely if vacancies pass a certain threshold. A handful of store closures, analysts say, can quickly lead entire mall corridors to go dark, leaving Simon with few choices during the pandemic.

“It’s normally a sign of distress when you’re having to invest in your tenants, but it’s the least bad option right now,” said Scott Crowe, chief investment strategist at CenterSquare Investment Management. “The alternative is way worse: Letting these retailers go bankrupt, and having to deal with a whole lot of empty space at a time when the rest of the world is also dealing with the same problem.”

Simon’s long-term strategy, he said, is be the last major mall owner standing. There are currently about 1,000 shopping malls in the United States, but Crowe says he expects at least half — if not two-thirds — of them close in coming years. By buying up iconic brands, Simon can ensure they continue to have a presence at its malls while pulling out of leases at competing shopping centers.

“You end up with assets that are still alive and kicking, while everyone else falls by the wayside — and suddenly you’re in an okay position compared to your rivals,” Crowe said.

Acquiring J.C. Penney, analysts said, would go a step further by giving Simon access to billions of dollars of coveted real estate. The department store chain, which anchors about half of Simon’s shopping malls, isn’t much of a moneymaker — it brings in just $114 in sales per square foot, compared to an average of nearly $700 per square foot across all of Simon’s tenants — it owns as much as $3.6 billion in real estate, according to Floris van Dijkum, an analyst for Compass Point. J.C. Penney declined to comment.

But van Dijkum warned of other risks outside of Simon’s control, including the current recession, a long-term shift to online shopping, and a second wave of coronavirus-induced shutdowns. Other analysts said many of the brands that have recently filed for bankruptcy have had years worth of unresolved problems that Simon may not be able to fix.

“It’s certainly in Simon’s long-term interest to keep their tenants afloat,” said Steve Dennis, a Dallas-based retail consultant and former executive at Neiman Marcus and Sears. “They’re looking at Brooks Brothers and Lucky as pretty solid brands that are being sold at fire sale prices. But some of these brands are troubled enough that these deals might just be delaying the inevitable.”

Meanwhile, a potential tie-up with Amazon, analysts said, makes less sense. Department store anchors tend to be two or three stories high, making it difficult — and inefficient — to turn them into fulfillment centers for online or pick-up orders. (Amazon declined to comment. Its founder and chief executive, Jeff Bezos, owns The Washington Post.)

“This just has ‘bad’ written all over it,” said Phibbs, the retail consultant. “’Hey Amazon, come to the floundering mall you helped kill and we’ll give you a great sweetheart deal.’ It’s a Trojan horse of an idea that’s going to further erode malls.”

David Simon, the company’s CEO, declined to comment on a possible deal with Amazon during a recent earnings call, but did address other concerns, saying there was no reason Simon couldn’t look outside of its real estate business for new investments.

“If we didn’t believe in the brand and we didn’t think we could make money, we wouldn’t do it,” he said. “Just give us time to prove our thesis right.”

Source:WP